How to Value a Private Company (Even Without Stock Prices)

Hi, I’m Chris Walton, author of this guide and CEO of Eton Venture Services.

I’ve spent much of my career working as a corporate transactional lawyer at Gunderson Dettmer, becoming an expert in tax law & venture financing. Since starting Eton, I’ve completed thousands of business valuations for companies of all sizes.

A short bio of Chris Walton, CEO of Eton

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Private companies present valuable investment opportunities for venture capitalists, private equity firms, and strategic buyers. 

But, unlike public companies whose stock prices reflect market sentiment in real-time, private companies don’t have an obvious price tag.

So, how do investors and buyers determine their true worth?

We’ve valued hundreds of private companies, and certain factors come into play time and time again when assessing their worth:

  • Growth potential – Can the company expand into new markets, scale operations efficiently, or develop new products?
  • Market size and position – Is the company operating in a growing market? Does it dominate a niche or face stiff competition?
  • Recurring revenue and customer base – Does the company have long-term contracts or a diverse, loyal customer base?
  • Intellectual property – Does the business hold patents, proprietary technology, or other assets that create barriers to entry? 

These factors show how resilient, scalable, and appealing a private company is to investors and buyers. Valuation methods then turn these insights into real numbers to provide a reliable way to measure a company’s worth — and support your decisions.

Here’s how these valuation methods work, when to apply them, and what you need to consider in the process:

Key Takeaways

  • Factors shaping a private company’s valuation include its growth potential, market share, profitability, and customer concentration. Recurring revenue, intellectual property, the management team and industry trends can also impact its value.
  • In industries with many similar public peers, such as retail or software, use the Guideline Public Company (GPC) Method. This approach determines the value of a private company by comparing it to similar publicly traded companies.
  • In industries with frequent M&A activity, apply the Guideline Transaction (GT) Method. This method estimates a company’s value by analyzing pricing multiples derived from reported sales or acquisitions of similar private firms.
  • If the company has consistent earnings, use the Earnings Multiple Method. This applies a multiple to a company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) based on industry standards.
  • For companies with predictable cash flows and growth rates, use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method. This involves projecting the company’s future cash flows and discounting them to their present value.
  • To value companies in capital-intensive industries, such as manufacturing or transportation, apply Asset-Based Valuation by subtracting total liabilities from the fair market value of assets.

5 Methods for Valuing a Private Company

To value a private company, we typically use a combination of the following valuation methods:

  1. Guideline Public Company (GPC) Method
  2. Guideline Transactions (GT) Method
  3. Earnings Multiple Method
  4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
  5. Asset-Based Valuation

Each method turns a company’s value drivers, such as growth potential, market size, customer concentration, and intellectual property, into concrete financial figures. 

Some compare similar businesses to determine value. Others project future earnings to reflect cash flow stability and expected growth. Investors and buyers use these methods to assess a company’s worth, even without a publicly available price.

Let’s take a closer look at each method: how it works, when it applies, and what it reveals about a private company’s true value.

1. Guideline Public Company Method

How to Value a Private Company - GPC Method

The Guideline Public Company Method values your private company by comparing it to similar publicly traded ones. That’s why it works best if your business is in an industry with plenty of public peers, like retail or software.

To apply this method, select public companies that closely match your company in industry, size, and growth profile. Then, calculate multiples like price-to-sales or EV/EBITDA ratios. 

These multiples compare a company’s value relative to its financial metrics, like revenue or earnings. They give insight into how the market values similar businesses, which enables you to estimate a fair price for your private company.

Common multiples include:

  • Price-to-Sales (P/S): Compares the company’s market value to its total revenue. It shows how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of sales.
    • Best for high-growth companies with substantial revenue but inconsistent profits.
  • EV/EBITDA: Compares the company’s total value (including debt) to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). It measures the company’s profitability from core operations.
    • Best for established firms with steady cash flow.
  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E): Compares the company’s stock price to its earnings per share. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of profit the company makes.
    • Best for profitable companies with consistent earnings.
  • Price-to-Book (P/B): Compares the company’s market value to the value of its assets minus liabilities. It shows how much investors are paying for the company’s net assets.
    • Best for companies with significant tangible assets.

We then apply these multiples to the relevant financial metrics of your private company to determine its market value. 

For example, if the average EV/EBITDA ratio for similar firms is 5x and your firm’s EBITDA is $10 million, its enterprise value would be $50 million.

We often use the GPC method in conjunction with other methods, like Discounted Cash Flow or asset-based valuation. 

Market multiples like P/S or P/E show how investors price similar companies and what drives those valuations. However, they rely on broad comparisons rather than your company’s specific details. So, they don’t fully capture unique risks, competitive advantages, or future growth plans. Other methods provide deeper insight, leading to a more well-rounded valuation.

Planning a merger or acquisition? Check out our list of the top M&A advisory boutique firms in the U.S. to find expert guidance tailored to your needs.

2. Guideline Transaction (GT) Method

How to Value a Private Company - GT Method

The Guideline Transaction Method analyzes pricing multiples from reported sales or acquisitions of similar private firms to determine the value of your private company. That’s why it works well for companies in industries with frequent M&A activity.

  • To use this method, apply multiples such as Price-to-Sales, EV/EBITDA, Price-to-Earnings, and Price-to-Book to your private company’s relevant financial metrics.

For example, if comparable private transactions show an average Price-to-Sales ratio of 4x, and your firm has $10 million in annual revenue, its market value would be $40 million.

However, unlike public market methods (like GPC), where stock prices constantly change in response to investor demand, private company valuations don’t follow a set market price. Instead, each deal depends on its unique details, including buyer motivations and negotiation terms.

Some buyers pay more if a company offers something valuable, like strong customer relationships or strategic market positioning. Others negotiate lower prices if the seller needs to exit quickly or if the business doesn’t fully align with their goals.

That’s why simply applying a multiple from past deals isn’t enough. You need to adjust for factors that influenced those transactions:

  • If previous buyers paid a premium for a company with exclusive contracts, but yours doesn’t have the same edge, your multiple needs to be lower. 
  • On the other hand, if past deals sold at a discount due to financial struggles, but your company is stable and growing, your multiple should be higher.

The key is to separate deal-specific influences from the company’s underlying value. That way, you ensure a fair and realistic valuation that reflects what makes your business unique.

3. Earnings Multiple Method

How to Value a Private Company - Earnings Multiple Method

The Earnings Multiple Method is a common approach to valuing private companies. It applies a multiple to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), based on industry standards.

EBITDA measures a company’s profitability from its core operations, excluding costs related to financing, taxes, and accounting decisions. And because this method relies on earnings as a key input, it works best for companies with consistent earnings and predictable profitability.

To determine a company’s value using this method:

  1. Identify the appropriate EBITDA multiple: This is typically derived from industry standards. You can find them in industry reports, private market studies, and valuation databases.
  2. Calculate the company’s EBITDA: This represents the firm’s operating performance without the impact of financing, tax structure, or accounting decisions.
  3. Apply the multiple: Multiply EBITDA by the selected multiple to estimate enterprise value.

For example, if similar companies trade at an EBITDA multiple of 6x, and a private firm has $5 million in EBITDA, its estimated enterprise value would be $30 million.

We often use this method due to its simplicity. However, it may not fully capture a company’s value in capital-intensive industries, where significant assets or long-term investments play a major role. In such cases, a combination of asset-based or discounted cash flow methods may provide a more accurate valuation.

4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method

How to Value a Private Company - DCF Method

The Discounted Cash Flow Method best suits private companies with predictable cash flows and growth rates.

That’s because it works by projecting the firm’s future cash flows and discounting them to their present value using a discount rate. This rate reflects the company’s risk and the time value of money.

Here are the steps involved in using the DCF method:

  1. Forecast future cash flows: Start by estimating how much the company will make each year over the next 5 to 10 years. These estimates reflect things like expected growth, changes in the customer base, and what’s happening in the market.
    • Let’s say the company is expected to bring in $1,000,000 every year for the next five years.
  2. Choose a discount rate: The discount rate reflects industry risk, competition, and the company’s cost of capital. A common way to calculate it is using the weighted average cost of capital, which considers both debt and equity financing.
    • Suppose you choose a 10% discount rate based on the company’s WACC.
  3. Calculate the present value of future cash flows: Apply the discount rate to each year’s projected cash flow. This tells you what those future cash flows are worth today.
    • Using a 10% discount rate, next year’s projected $1,000,000 cash flow would have a present value of $909,090 ($1,000,000 ÷ (1.10)¹).
    • Repeat this calculation for each year in the forecast period.
  4. Determine the terminal value: This is the company’s value beyond the forecast period, often calculated using a perpetuity growth model.
    • Suppose the company’s terminal value at the end of year five is $14,700,000.
    • Discounted back to today’s value, it’s worth about $9,124,000 ($14,700,000 ÷ (1.10)⁵).
  5. Add the present value of future cash flows and terminal value: To find the company’s total value, add the present value of the projected cash flows and the discounted terminal value.
    • In this case, the estimated company value would be $12,914,000.

5. Asset-Based Valuation

How to Value a Private Company - Asset-Based Valuation

The Asset-Based Approach is best suited for capital-intensive industries, such as manufacturing or transportation. It’s applicable when tangible assets significantly influence the company’s operations. It’s also useful for valuing a company at an early stage that has little to no revenue.

  • To calculate a private company’s value using this approach, subtract total liabilities from the fair market value of its assets.

For example, if a manufacturing company has machinery, equipment, inventory, and property with a fair market value of $12 million, and total liabilities, including loans and accounts payable, amount to $5 million, its net asset value would be $7 million. 

This approach estimates a company’s net worth, or equity, based solely on the value of its tangible assets.

We also commonly use it as a “floor” valuation in distressed situations, where asset liquidation may be the primary option for recovering value.

However, while it’s a straightforward calculation, it may not fully reflect the company’s market value, especially if intangible assets like brand reputation or intellectual property exist. 

In turn, for businesses with significant intangible assets, like technology firms or service-based companies, this method may undervalue the company’s true worth. In these cases, it’s best to use income-based or market-based approaches to determine a private company’s value.

Need third-party valuation help? Explore our guide to the top third-party valuation firms and find the right partner for your business.

8 Factors That Influence the Valuation of Private Companies

For investors and buyers, valuing a private company is about assessing risk and opportunity. Things like market size, intellectual property, and customer concentration help determine how stable a company is and how much room it has to grow. This ultimately influences its price tag.

Valuation experts play a huge role here. We analyze these factors, highlight their impact, and make a credible argument on your behalf that they increase the business’s overall value. 

How to Value a Private Company

Here are the main factors we consider:

1. Growth Potential

We often value private companies with clear growth opportunities higher — whether they’re expanding into new markets, introducing new products, or adopting new technologies. That’s because they show strong potential for future success.

Additionally, businesses that can scale effectively and increase revenue without a proportional rise in costs are more attractive. If you’ve got a clear plan to keep scaling and bringing in more revenue, that tells investors you’re set up for long-term success and that you can stay profitable and valuable as you grow.

2. Market Size and Share

If your business operates in a large, expanding market, it has more chances to grow and gain market share. This makes it more appealing to investors. 

Likewise, companies that dominate their market or carve out a strong niche often hold more value. A well-established brand helps keep demand high, allows for better pricing, and makes it easier to stay ahead of the competition.

3. Profitability and Margins

High margins mean your business can generate reliable cash flow, which makes it less risky for investors. Cash flow is especially important in mature industries, where staying profitable keeps a company competitive. 

On the other hand, businesses with falling or unpredictable profits may have trouble attracting buyers. This can lead to a lower valuation.

4. Recurring Revenue

We often value companies with steady income from long-term contracts or subscriptions higher because they carry less risk. 

A reliable revenue stream, supported by high customer retention, keeps finances strong and makes future planning easier, which appeals to investors.

5. Customer Concentration

A strong and diverse customer base keeps a company’s revenue steady. This makes it more stable and better positioned for growth. 

Businesses that rely too heavily on a few clients risk major losses if those clients leave. On the other hand, having a mix of customers from different markets or industries makes a company more resilient and less dependent on any one source of income, which increases its valuation. 

6. Intellectual Property

Strong intellectual property rights make it harder for competitors to copy your key products or services. In turn, this helps your business maintain its pricing power and market position. 

Companies with valuable IP, especially in technology, biotech, and specialized industries, often attract higher valuations because their innovations support long-term growth and profitability.

7. Management Team

Investors seek businesses with strong management teams that have successfully executed growth strategies, navigated industry challenges, and maintained financial stability. 

Effective leadership translates into better decision-making, adaptability, and long-term vision, all contributing to business resilience and expansion. 

Additionally, a skilled and stable workforce supports operational efficiency and innovation, which also contributes to a higher valuation.

8. Industry Trends

Businesses in fast-growing fields like renewable energy or artificial intelligence often receive higher valuations because investors see strong growth potential. 

Conversely, companies in slow-growing or declining industries may have lower valuations due to fewer opportunities for innovation and less market interest. 

This is also why a company’s ability to adapt to industry changes, such as new technology, shifting consumer preferences, or updated regulations, can significantly affect its perceived value.

Need Support Valuing Your Private Company?

At Eton Venture Services, we provide accurate, independent valuations that support your decision-making, whether you’re planning for growth, preparing for a transaction, or structuring a transition.

Our team of experts is dedicated to offering the highest level of service in assessing the value of your private company. We ensure that all key factors – such as customer concentration, market share, recurring revenue, and intellectual property – are thoroughly considered.

Trust our experts to deliver insightful, tailored valuations that support your next move.

Private Company Valuation | FAQs

How do private company valuations differ from public company valuations?

Private company valuations differ from public company valuations in important respects.

Public companies trade on stock exchanges, so their market prices are updated daily, reflecting investor sentiment, liquidity, and transparent financial data. 

In contrast, private companies lack a public market, which means valuers must rely on internal financials, industry comparables, and forecasts. 

This often necessitates additional adjustments – such as discounts for lack of marketability and liquidity – to account for the increased uncertainty and lower trading frequency.

Private companies can improve their valuation by concentrating on a few key areas:

  • Boost recurring revenue: Shift to subscription models or secure long-term contracts for predictable income.
  • Enhance operational efficiency: Invest in technology and automation to streamline processes and reduce costs.
  • Diversify customer base: Reduce dependency on a few clients by expanding into new markets or segments.
  • Strengthen the management team: Build a strong leadership structure and invest in employee training to ensure stability.
  • Develop proprietary assets: Create and protect intellectual property or unique processes that offer a competitive edge.
  • Maintain transparent financials: Keep accurate, up-to-date records and realistic future projections to build investor confidence.
  • Focus on market share and growth: Target opportunities for expansion to capture a larger share of the market.

The frequency depends on market conditions and significant business changes. Many companies opt for annual or biennial valuations, or revaluation whenever there is a major operational or market shift that could affect its value.

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President & CEO

Chris co-founded Eton Venture Services in 2010 to provide mission-critical valuations to venture-based companies. He works closely with each client’s leadership team, board of directors, internal / external counsel, and independent auditor to develop detailed financial models and create accurate, audit-proof valuations.

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